Toledo vs Utah State 12/15/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Toledo winning 41% of simulations, and Utah State 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Toledo commits fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 50% when they take care of the ball. Utah State wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. David Fluellen is averaging 115 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 52%. Kerwynn Williams is averaging 93 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 57
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